Hey guys, in real estate, we often hear the word "affordability". What does it mean and how can we break it down for our clients? Affordability has three components.
The first one is how much people are making. In the last year, on average, wages have gone up a little over 7%. So people are making a little bit more, which means they can afford a little bit more in their house.
The second leg of this is housing prices. Housing prices have flattened out compared to what we were seeing in 2019 and 2020, and in some markets, we're seeing some declines. Last quarter, home prices decreased by about 4%, which is significantly less than the double-digit gains we have seen in previous years.
The last component is interest rates. Interest rates are having the biggest impact on affordability. But it is important to remember that when buying a home, home prices are permanent, but interest rates and wages are temporary. As wages generally...
One question that you might get, or a comment that you might get about the market is everybody's talking about home prices being very high.
They might say, "You know, I don't think I'm going to enter the market because the prices are so high. Or I don't think this is sustainable, that these prices are so high."
And home prices have gone up over the last couple of years. But another measurement to take a look at when we're analyzing the market is something called affordability. It's actually something that's tracked by the National Association of REALTORS.
Affordability is key because it takes into account several key factors.
1. Your income — the median income of families across the country.
2. It takes into account the median interest rate being paid by mortgage borrowers across the country
3. And median pricing
When you combine those three factors, you fid affordability is better than it's been in decades.
Now, how could that...
Affordability is on the tip of everybody's tongues right now.
Why is affordability so important?
Well, it's a measurement of how affordable it is for the average person in America to own a home.
NAR has studied this every single month and they gave us a Home Affordability Graph. And you might expect this, but home affordability has actually been going up because of something substantial, which is interest rates going down.
As interest rates go down, affordability goes up.
That's despite the fact that we've had actually super fast rising prices, right? Prices starting to go into double digit territory across the country. And then we see interest rates going down, which pushes affordability up.
But because home prices have gotten so high recently, that's actually starting to level off and come back down. But we recently had another upswing. So we're measuring a few things when we look at affordability.
When NAR looks at...
Are homes more or less affordable than they were a year ago?
According to the National Association of REALTORS homes are significantly more affordable today than they were a year ago on a national basis. Housing affordability increased from a year ago in May, moving the index up 5.6% from 142.4 to 150.4. This even while the median sales price for a single family home sold in May in the US was $280,200, up 4.6% from a year ago.
The reason homes are more affordable? Nationally, mortgage rates were down 60 basis points from one year ago (one percentage point equals 100 basis points). Another piece of good news payments as a percentage of income went down to 16.6% this May and 17.6% from a year ago.
Watch as Jim breaks down the numbers as well as projections on home price appreciation over the next two years, and provides scripts for talking to your clients!
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