Zillow announced recently that they've stopped buying homes!
In their press release, they said they had supply chain issues and labor shortages, which is interesting because when you look at what they actually did in Q2 and Q3, where we've had kind of the same issues going on, they actually doubled the amount of homes that they purchased during that time compared to last year.
So why would they go from twice the amount they were buying last year to stopping on October 18th?
Some people are saying that one reason might be they're seeing market changes, just like we've been talking about. They're seeing a lot more listings coming to market which creates pricing pressure and competition. So they may not be able to come in and pay these high prices and then resell it at an even higher price. Because Zillow runs a flipping operation, right?
So we're actually seeing that. I've got a lot of students and a lot of parts of the country that...
How long do people stay in their homes? It's an interesting question. And it's a question that's related to marketing for us.
Prior to 2008, the average person stayed in their home five years before they moved on. So quite a bit of turnover there.
From 2008 to 2016, that number moved up to eight years.
And now that number has gone even higher — it's now 10.6 years.
So why are people staying in their homes longer? Well, there's lots of reasons.
The Great Recession had an impact. Super low interest rates have an impact. Having less inventory in the markets for people to move up to and change homes has also made a big impact.
But one question we should know and ask our clients is how about our local market? How about with our own sphere? What does that look like for the people that you're actually doing business with?
It's a great text. It's a great social media post to ask this question:
"The average homeowner spends 10.6...
Hey guys, the market's shifting. That's no surprise here — we've been seeing it for a few months. We're starting to see buyers put up some walls and say, "Hey, wait a second. I'm not going to pay infinity for a home."
And so buyers are slowing down their activity and we're seeing that. And it's also causing inventories to rise, which in turn, is causing sellers to try and avoid missing the boat so they're jumping in. This is causing inventories to rise even more.
So the whole market is starting to change. Not radically yet, but it will accelerate over time. And it's natural. It's normal. We're never going to have a straight up market forever. Right now, some people would argue that we're 12 years into a seven-year cycle.
Now for us, I have a question for you because you are either an agent that's market-driven or strategy-driven.
If you're market-driven, then high tide floats all boats. You do well in a great market and you do...
We just got stats that show listings have increased again. For the past several months, they've been increasing. And now they've increased again by another 4.1%.
So now we're about 2.6 months of supply in the country. Not a lot, but more than it's been in a long time.
So we're starting to see listings come back to market.
The question is: Are you starting to see more listings come into your portfolio?
If you're not, you have to ask yourself why.
The number one reason why we don't have as many listings as we should is we're just simply not asking for them. We're not asking enough people to give us listings as we should. And we're not asking for enough referrals.
I'll give you one technique that blew my mind recently that one of my students used. And I received it because I'm on his mailing list.
He sent me his resume, his resume letter, the resume letter had a cover letter, just like a regular resume. And on the cover letter, it...
What should you be doing right now?
It's a question I get all the time as a coach.
I'm going to hand to you right my 9 Point Ultimate Business Strategy for every single person that's listening to this.
If you just apply this by 30 days, I want you to email me personally and tell me exactly what happened. Feel free to DM me. I would love to hear how has a blown up your business because I know it will.
Nine points you can implement today in your business. Ready? Write these ideas down.
Here we go:
1. Implement the "5x5x5 Strategy"
This is five calls. Five texts, five cards every day. Okay. That's one strategy we can implement.
2. Networking
Networking is so important and it's one of the most missed opportunities. We should be doing 1-2 networking meetings a week with somebody in our sphere of influence. Where we're connecting human being to human being.
Ideally you want to go higher than that. But 1-2 would be the minimum. This...
If I were to ask you, what is your business strategy right now? Would you be able to write it down in two or three sentences — your specific strategy and how you're approaching the marketplace?
If not, you may have an issue because you might be market-driven and we don't want to be market-driven.
Why?
Because a market is kind of a high tide floats all boats kind of situation. What happens when the tide's not with you? And you're kind of fighting the market.
That's where you're going into a danger zone. And none of us want to be there. As Vince Lombardi said:
"Hope is not a strategy."
We absolutely have to have a strategy to survive and thrive in this business.
And one of the biggest things that we should be doing every day is understanding that we have a job that probably most people don't identify with. And our number one job isn't sales.
Our number one job is data collection. That is adding people to our funnel so that we can...
There's a new study out that shows that 77% of homeowners believe now is a great time to sell their home.
And when you combine that with a recent study we talked about — which is that 1 in 10 homeowners is going to place their home on the market over the next 12 months. And 63% of those will do it in the next six months alone.
Question is:
What are you doing about it?
We know 80% of your business is going to come from a direct result of your sphere of influence. Either direct business or referred business. So we need to dive into that first and foremost.
I'm going to give you three ways to have impact at scale with these folks.
1. A weekly email into your database.
This doesn't cost you a dime, but it's one of the most powerful things you can do to stay top-of-mind.
But that email has to be value-orientated. It can't be garbage that people are going to look at it as spam. It has to be high value.
What's the highest...
What if there's one thing you could do that would have a massive impact on your business? And it was something that would feel like it wasn't work? It was almost rejection-proof. And it's something that you could do every single day. Would you like to know what it is?
The answer is networking. And what I mean by networking is going to coffee, dinner, drinks, lunch, breakfast, you name it. Whatever it is where you're meeting one-on-one with someone in your sphere of influence.
There's nothing more powerful than you can do for your business in terms of marketing than that.
Now it's not going to feel like you're doing anything — you're just having fun with somebody who you like to visit with. But by stretching yourself and meeting with more people in your sphere and getting outside your comfort zone, I can promise you the result of this will be referrals.
Now it's not instant gratification. It won't instantly happen. But when you...
Something super exciting happened in the last month that we haven't seen in the last 15 years:
Home prices on existing homes exceeded home prices for new homes.
Think about what I just said:
Existing home prices exceeded new home construction. So it was actually cheaper to go buy a brand new house nobody had ever lived in than buying an existing home. Absolutely amazing.
Lots of reasons behind that. But one of the reasons is normally when you're buying new construction, you're locking in a price six months earlier. And then they complete the new construction and you move in.
Well, the market has super accelerated in those last 6 months. And guess what's also happened:
Now, if you were to try to pull that off, what's happened with all kinds of lumber, supplies, and even appliances?
Prices have gone up.
So this will probably not be repeated anytime soon because now prices on new construction are beginning to rise again.
But what...
What's one thing we all need to be concerned about?
Inflation.
We're starting to see inflation rise across many spectrums of the economy. And it is a little bit unnerving when we look at it. Inflation has actually crossed the 2% threshold it's actually past 4% right now.
It's different every month, but it's rising fast across all kinds of asset classes and employment. We're starting to see that real, serious pressure on wages. And a lot of wages have driven up.
We now have more job openings in our country than we've ever had recorded before. Think about what I just said: Job openings are wide open.
This idea that we have an unemployment rate is almost ridiculous because every American -- based on the amount of openings right now -- could be employed. They're choosing not to be employed in some areas or they're choosing not to go to work because of wages or whatever. But in a lot of areas, there's not just enough jobs, there's too...
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