There are a couple of numbers we need to look at to understand where the market's at and what's happening with the market.
Number one is the pending home sell index, which had a decrease of 1.9% compared to a year ago. And again, a 1.9% decrease compared to last month. Coincidentally, it was the same number.
But when we combine that with an increase in inventory of 4.1% the month before and a decrease in interest rates because they fell back below 3%.
So we have to look at this as the whole and say:
Why would there be a decrease in sales when we've had an increase in listings and a lower interest rate?
Why aren't buyers saying, "Hey, I have more to choose from and my interest rates are going down. Why don't I own the market?"
Buyers aren't doing that. In fact, they're pulling back a little bit from the market.
The reason is...
Buyer price resistance
Buyers are saying, "Hey, it's been 112 straight months of home price increases....
The Wall Street Journal just put out an interesting article about a company called Invesco putting $5 billion into a hedge fund that's purchasing single family homes.
And they're not alone. There's another $6.5 billion dollars targeted with other hedge funds doing exactly the same thing.
Now, why are these hedge funds going after single family homes?
Well, they've identified that they can get a cap rate of as much as 6.8%. That's the target rate that they're comparing to apartment buildings and commercial — which is like the low sixes.
So what they're saying is: we're going to make money on this. And we're going to rent these houses to millennials that are choosing not to become homeowners.
What we need to do as an industry, number one is to recognize that we should be investing in single family homes as well. But also we need to encourage everybody that's not a homeowner today to get into the real estate arena and buy their...
Are a ton of foreclosures about to hit the market?
The answer is absolutely not. Let me tell you why:
This is a myth that's happening among a lot of renters. People that don't own homes yet are all waiting for the shoe to drop and a bunch of foreclosures to hit the market. Let me tell you why it's not going to happen:
There is something called forbearance. And a lot of people did tap into it at the beginning of the pandemic. The experts thought that about 30% of mortgage holders would need to tap into it at the beginning of the pandemic. In other words, forbearance is where a lender gives you some level of grace.
They say, "Hey, you can stop making your payments for a while, or you can make a minimum payment or we'll tack on your payments to the end of the loan." There are a lot of different variations to it.
But the government said they want everybody to have a six-month opportunity if they've been struck by COVID or...
What if from every listing you take, you received five transactional sides? Imagine you take 10 listings in the next 12 months. And that leads to 50 transactional sides.
Is it possible? Absolutely.
And more importantly, we have to look at what we've done the last 12 months — how many listings did we take and how many sides did we create? If we are leaving money on the table, it's probably coming from the activities that we're not doing when it comes to our listings and those opportunities are so massive.
We have a system which I call the "5 Star Listing System" and it identifies the five easy transactions we can secure from every single listing we take.
1. We're going to sell the listing that we take
Now, that sounds simple in today's market. 95% of listings are selling as soon as they hit the market. But as the market transitions, as the market shifts, believe me, we're going to need to be able to refine our presentations and...
According to a new Bankrate survey, millennials are having high levels of buyer's remorse in this market.
In fact, two thirds of millennials experience high levels of anxiety after the purchase, while they're in escrow, which can lead to escrow failures.
What are you doing about that?
Not just with millennials, but with all buyers in this topsy-turvy market. How are you addressing buyer's remorse? And for that matter, seller's remorse?
I'm going to give you a strategy called the Three R Strategy, which can help you deal with remorse in a unique way.
The first R is Reconfirm.
Reconfirm with people about why they made the decision to buy or sometimes sell. So you might say things like:
"Hey, won't it be nice not to be a renter anymore? And every single month when you're making that payment, it's building your equity, not building your homeowner's net worth. You're going to be benefiting from that."
Or:
"Hey, just imagine now that...
We just got stats that show listings have increased again. For the past several months, they've been increasing. And now they've increased again by another 4.1%.
So now we're about 2.6 months of supply in the country. Not a lot, but more than it's been in a long time.
So we're starting to see listings come back to market.
The question is: Are you starting to see more listings come into your portfolio?
If you're not, you have to ask yourself why.
The number one reason why we don't have as many listings as we should is we're just simply not asking for them. We're not asking enough people to give us listings as we should. And we're not asking for enough referrals.
I'll give you one technique that blew my mind recently that one of my students used. And I received it because I'm on his mailing list.
He sent me his resume, his resume letter, the resume letter had a cover letter, just like a regular resume. And on the cover letter, it...
Interesting question:
How much does what someone sees on TV impact their buying patterns or buying behavior?
And that's a question that was asked within the new staging report from the NAR — the National Association of Realtors. And here's what they found:
63% of REALTORS say that when they're out showing homes to buyers, that the buyers requested to view homes that were comparable to those that they had seen on TV.
Further:
Because of that, 35% of REALTORS say that they have patterned their staging around what they see on TV as well. So TV is definitely having an impact in the real world of selling real estate.
So when we look at those numbers, when we dig deeper, here's what's interesting:
When we ask the bigger question, how many REALTORS are actually staging listings at all?
Here's the numbers:
* 31% of REALTORS stage every listing.
* 13% only staged difficult homes
* 8% only stage high priced homes
But most interesting...
The listing market is about to blow up. We've seen all kinds of stats around this. Everybody's looking at the same wave coming towards us. The question is, what are we going to do about it?
We know 77% of homeowners believe now's a good time to sell.
1 in 10 homeowner's plans to list in the next year. And 63% in the next six months.
Here are 5 things you must have to get ready for the super surge of listings that's about ready to break into your market right now:
1. An in-depth marketing plan
Now this is a step-by-step, point-by-point marketing plan that's unique to you. Not just your office, not your company, not your brand, but to you personally that you give to every seller.
If you haven't developed this, we've actually developed one for all of our coaching students, which will blow your mind. But you need to take some time to develop one yourself.
2. Recent testimonials
Have you collected those on an 8.5x11 piece of paper...
What should you be doing right now?
It's a question I get all the time as a coach.
I'm going to hand to you right my 9 Point Ultimate Business Strategy for every single person that's listening to this.
If you just apply this by 30 days, I want you to email me personally and tell me exactly what happened. Feel free to DM me. I would love to hear how has a blown up your business because I know it will.
Nine points you can implement today in your business. Ready? Write these ideas down.
Here we go:
1. Implement the "5x5x5 Strategy"
This is five calls. Five texts, five cards every day. Okay. That's one strategy we can implement.
2. Networking
Networking is so important and it's one of the most missed opportunities. We should be doing 1-2 networking meetings a week with somebody in our sphere of influence. Where we're connecting human being to human being.
Ideally you want to go higher than that. But 1-2 would be the minimum. This...
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